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New indices and methodological updates for Political Risk and Environmental Risk Datasets

New indices and methodological updates for Political Risk and Environmental Risk Datasets

Our new datasets for Political Risk and Environmental Risk will be released on October 5th, which include new additions to our portfolio of risk analytics, as well as enhancements to the existing methodologies of several risk indices to improve accuracy.

Political Risk Dataset 2016 Q4 Update

The dataset includes 43 indices that assess key political risks including the regulatory environment, political violence and government stability. This quarter, we would like to draw your attention to two changes to the dataset:

  • A new addition will be the Counterterrorism Capability Index, which assesses the capability of the police and intelligence agencies, and whether the country has implemented appropriate policies to address the threat of terrorism. This index has been scored for 85 countries that have been identified as facing a credible risk of terrorism and will be updated annually. We would recommend that clients view this index in conjunction with our TRI - Capacity of Active Groups Index so that they can fully understand the threat a country is facing, and the ability of its security forces to mitigate this risk.
  • Our new Criminality Index will replace both the Criminal Violence and Illicit Economy indices. The Criminality Index will capture the concepts included in the two aforementioned indices, while providing more granular data on robbery, extortion and narcotics consumption and production. The index will also include indicators on organised crime and homicide, and will be updated annually.

These two indices will not be released with historic data, as they have been created using a qualitative methodology.

Environmental Risk Dataset 2017

The Environmental Risk Dataset includes 44 indices that assess key risks related to the environment, climate change and natural hazards. For this edition, we are pleased to announce a number of enhancements:

  • The Climate Change Exposure Index (formerly the Exposure Index) is reconfigured to include the latest range of future climate projections for the next three decades, including components on future seasonal variability, climate extremes and sea level rise. By including the three aspects of climate risk (extremes, variability and long-term change) the new index provides users with a holistic view of the physical threat posed by climate change.
  • The Climate Change Sensitivity Index (formerly the Sensitivity Index) now incorporates a revised economic resources and poverty pillar. The pillar captures the direct and indirect aspects of individuals’ financial situation that help shape communities’ susceptibility to both the long and short-term impacts of climate change.
  • The Climate Change Adaptive Capacity Index (formerly the Adaptive Capacity Index) now includes bespoke datasets from Verisk Maplecroft capturing the presence of policies and public sector bodies relevant to climate change and disaster management, to speak directly to the commitment of governments to tackling these issues.
  • Country scores in the Climate Change Vulnerability Index, which is a composite of the three indices listed above, will reflect this new data.
  • The Water Stress Index has been refined to provide greater definition in the extreme risk category.
  • A new Biodiversity and Protected Areas (terrestrial) Index replaces the Biodiversity Index. The new index assesses the risks to business posed by the presence of biodiversity and the protection and scrutiny associated with nationally and internationally-recognised conservation designations. The new index now features a subnational map, allowing users to view and quantify these risks at a 1km2 resolution.
  • A suite of four new Degree Day indices provide insight into the heating and cooling requirements, and subsequently energy requirements, in the current climate and under climate change. Degree days are a tool that can be used to analyse the impact of weather on energy consumption in buildings.
  • The CO2 Emissions from Energy Use and CO2 Emissions from Land Use Change and Forestry indices have been recalculated to incorporate updates to the methodologies used to generate national emissions values in the source data.

These indices are released with updated historic data back to, and including, the 2014 version of the index.

If you would like any further information, or to discuss these changes, please contact our Analytics Team at info@maplecroft.com

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