Skip to content

Global Risks Forecast

Maplecroft news

Maplecroft webinar series: Online presentations introducing Maplecroft’s country, issue and sector risk analysis and services

Maplecroft Blog: New blog launched featuring analysis of the global risk landscape by Maplecroft’s experts – Map of the week

ESG Atlas and Risk Calculator: NEW: 2012 ESG risk ranking and calculator for 196 countries – results available for subscribers

Political Risk Atlas 2012: 45 risk indices and interactive maps, new analysis of forced regime change/resource nationalism

Legal and Regulatory Environment Risk Atlas 2012: NEW: 21 risk indices and interactive maps, analysis of key legal instruments

Human Rights Risk Atlas 2012: NEW: Risks increase globally – 48% of world poses extreme/high risks of corporate complicity

Country Risk Reports: NEW: Argentina, Canada, E Guinea, Iraq, Libya, Myanmar, PNG, Russia, Texas, Thailand Turkey, ALL

Labour Standards Reports: NEW: In-depth reports reveal labour standards risks for company supply chains in the BRICs – ALL

Corruption Risk Briefings: NEW: Analysis of corruption – Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Peru, Poland, Russia, S Africa, ALL

Election Monitors: NEW: Two-part forecasts, results and analysis – Egypt, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Taiwan, USA, ALL

Global Risks Forecast - Issue 145 | 13 January 2012 – 25 January 2012

Fortnightly analysis and forecasts of emerging trends and issues across the global risks spectrum - including an archive of over 2600 articles.

World map showing event locations and trends
Click to go to article 11 Click to go to article 10 Click to go to article 2 Click to go to article 1 Click to go to article 6 Click to go to article 12 Click to go to article 4 Click to go to article 9 Click to go to article 5 Click to go to article 7 Click to go to article 3 Click to go to article 8

Governance and business environment

1
Guatemala
Molina is sworn in as Guatemala's president, inheriting an unstable economic and security climate
Stable Long term Operational/strategic
2
Philippines
Impeachment trial of Philippines Supreme Court Justice highlights problem of endemic corruption
Stable Medium term Operational/strategic
3
Jordan
Recurring protests likely as gov't holds talks with main opposition group, the Islamic Action Front  
Increasing Short term Operational
4
Global
Maplecroft releases new Forced Regime Change Risk Index - countries beyond Arab world at risk
Stable Medium term Operational/strategic
5
Kenya
ICC charges against presidential-hopefuls present risks and opportunity ahead of upcoming polls
Stable Medium term Strategic
6
Russia
Exclusion of candidates from presidential race narrows democratic choice ahead of elections 
Stable Medium term Strategic

Geopolitics and emerging powers

7
Global
Business risks and new opportunities identified as Maplecroft releases its 2012 Political Risk Atlas
Stable Medium term Operational/strategic

Terrorism and conflict

8
Mali
Attacks in Mali demonstrate increased security risks in the Sahel region following conflict in Libya 
Increasing Short term Operational/strategic
9
Falkland Islands
UK Prime Minister's comment on Argentine 'colonialism' sparks renewed sovereignty debate
Increasing Medium term Operational/strategic
10
Syria
Attacks against regime forces likely to intensify as new divisions emerge within the armed opposition 
Increasing Short term Operational/strategic

Macroeconomics and development

11
China
Reorientation towards domestic consumption essential for alleviating China's economic slowdown
Increasing Short term Operational/strategic
12
Global
European Union set to continue its gas reliance on Russia as Nabucco pipeline unlikely to go ahead
Stable Medium term Operational/strategic

Pandemics and public health

13
Global
Avian influenza update – China, Viet Nam, Indonesia, Egypt, Cambodia
Stable Medium term Operational/strategic
14
Global
Swine influenza update – Mexico
Stable Medium term Operational/strategic

Natural hazards

15
Global
Natural hazards update – Fiji, Papua New Guinea, USA, Mozambique, Afghanistan...
Stable Medium term Operational/strategic
RSS Print issue >
Advanced search

Global Risks Forecast email

You can have the latest edition of the Global Risks Forecast sent straight to your inbox.

The Global Risks Forecast email contains all the news and stories from the latest edition.

If you already have a Maplecroft user account, log in and check your account settings.

If not, request a free trial when you register with Maplecroft.

Political Risk Atlas 2012 45 indices and maps 197 countries

More information
ESG Atlas and Risk Calculator Select from 197 countries and 49 risk indices Apply tailored weightings Read press release
Climate Change and Environmental Risk Atlas 2012
  • 171 country scorecards
  • 23 risk indices and maps
More information
Legal and Regulatory Environment Risk Atlas 2012 173 countries 21 risk indices and maps Press release
Natural Hazards Risk
Atlas 2011 196 country scorecards 28 risk indices and maps More information
Sector Risk Calculator Instant risk profiles for all sectors worldwide More information

Legend

Trend
  • Increasing risk Increasing risk
  • Stable Stable risk
  • Decreasing risk Decreasing risk
Timeframe
  • Short term Short term
  • Medium term Medium term
  • Long term Long term
Impact
  • Operational Operational
  • Strategic Strategic
  • Operational/strategic Operational/strategic
Map key:
Natural hazards Natural hazards
Avian influenza Avian influenza
Swine influenza Swine influenza